cyclone Mahasen News last updated

(၁၅-၅-၂၀၁၃)ရက္ညေနပို္င္းမွာ TC 01B Mahasen ဘဂၤလားေဒ့ရွ္ႏိုင္ငံကမ္းေျခကို ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္စဥ္ ေလတိုက္းႏႈန္း ပမာဏ မူလခန္႕မွန္းထားသည္ထက္ ေလ်ာ့နည္းႏိုင္တာကို ေတြ႕လာရပါတယ္။

(၁၆-၅-၂၀၁၃)ရက္ေန႕ ညေနပိုင္း Mahasen Cyclonic Storm ဟာ (၁၅-၅-၂၀၁၃)ရက္ေန႕ ၁၂း၃၀ နာရီမွာ ေလတိုက္ႏႈန္း တစ္နာရီ (၉၅)မိုင္ႏႈန္းေလာက္တိုက္မယ္လို႕ ခန္႕မွန္းခဲ့ေပမယ့္ ဒီကေန႕ ေန႕လည္ပို္င္းမွာ တစ္နာရီ (၅၅)မို္င္ႏႈန္း ေလာက္သာတိုက္ခတ္ေနခဲ့တာ ကို ေတြ႕ရ ပါတယ္။ ဒါ့အျပင္ ဘဂၤလားေဒ့ရွ္ႏိုင္ငံ စစ္တေကာင္းျမိဳ႕ အနီးမွ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္ကာ၀င္ေရာက္တဲ့ အခ်ိန္ ေလတိုက္ႏႈန္းကို 70 knots (85 mph) ေလာက္ရွိမယ္လို႕ ခန္႕မွန္းထားခဲ့ေပမယ့္ (15-5-2013)ရက္ေန႕ ညေန(၃း၃၀) နာရီ အခ်ိန္ ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္ကေတာ့ မုန္တို္င္း၀င္ေရာက္ စဥ္မွာ ေလတိုက္ႏႈန္း 55 knots (60 mph) ခန္႕သာ ရွိႏိုင္လိမ့္မယ္လို႕ ခန္႕မွန္းရ ပါတယ္။

ဒါဟာ..Mahasen ဆိုင္ကလုန္းမုန္တို္င္းဟာ မွန္းထားသေလာက္ အားမျပင္းႏိုင္ဘူးဆိုတဲ့ သေဘာ ကို (၁၅-၅-၂၀၁၃)ရက္ေန႕ တြက္ခ်က္မႈမ်ားအရ ေတြ႕ရွိရျခင္းပါဘဲ။ ေဒသခံမ်ား နဲ႕ ႀကိဳတင္ ကာကြယ္ေရး၊ ကယ္ဆယ္ေရးေဆာင္ရြက္ေနႀကတဲ့ သူေတြအားလံုး အတြက္ စိတ္သက္သာ ရာရစရာ သတင္းေကာင္းပါဘဲ။

ဒါေပမယ့္ တစ္နာရီ (60 mph) ဆိုတဲ့ ေလတိုက္ႏႈန္း ပမာဏဟာလည္း ပင္လယ္ျပင္မွာ လိႈႈ္င္းအျမင္ (၁၂)ေပခန္႕ ေလာက္အထိ နဲ႕ လိႈႈင္္းႀကီးမႈကို ျဖစ္ေစႏိုင္ပါတယ္။
ေနာက္ျပီး..ဒါဟာ လက္ရွိအေနအထား(၁၅ရက္ေန႕ ညေန ၃း၃၀ နာရီအခ်ိန္)သာျဖစ္ပါတယ္။ မုန္တို္င္းတစ္ခုရဲ႕အေနအထားဟာ အခ်ိန္နဲ႕အမွ် အေျပာင္းအလဲေတြရွိႏိုင္တာေႀကာင့္ ဒီေနာက္ပို္င္း အခ်ိန္ေတြမွာ ျဖစ္လာႏို္င္တာေတြကိုေတာ့ အခ်ိန္နဲ႕တေျပးညီ ဆက္လက္ ထုတ္ျပန္ေပးသြားမွာ ျဖစ္ပါတယ္။

မုန္တို္င္းဟာ မနက္ဖန္ (၁၆-၅-၂၀၁၃)ရက္ေန႕လည္ပို္င္းေလာက္ကစျပီး မုန္တိုင္းရဲ႕ ေရွ႕အဖ်ား (advancing edge or bar) ဟာ အရင္ဆံုးစျဖတ္ပါ့မယ္။ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္စဥ္မွာ ေလတို္က္ႏႈန္းဟာ တစ္နာရီ မိုင္(၄၀)ေလာက္နဲ႕ စပါမယ္။ အဲဒီအခ်ိန္မွာ မုန္တိုင္းရဲ႕ဗဟိုခ်က္ဟာ ပင္လယ္ျပင္ထဲမွာ ကမ္းက မိုင္(၉၀)အကြာမွာဘဲ ရွိေနပါဦးမယ္။ ညေနပို္င္းေလာက္မွာေတာ့ ဗဟိုခ်က္က ျဖတ္ပါ လိမ့္မယ္။ အဲဒီအခ်ိန္မ်ာေတာ့ ေလဟာအျပင္းဆံုးျဖစ္လာျပီး တစ္နာရီ မိုင္(၆၀)ႏႈန္းေလာက္ တိုက္ႏို္င္တယ္လို႕ တြက္ခ်က္ရရွိထားပါတယ္။

(ဦးထြန္းလြင္)

By :

Ko Kyi Win

Bangladesh, Myanmar prepare for arrival of Cyclone Mahasen

By Jethro Mullen, CNN

May 15, 2013 -- Updated 1154 GMT (1954 HKT)

Preparing for Tropical Cyclone Mahasen

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

• Tropical Cyclone Mahasen is moving toward the Bangladesh coast
• A U.N. agency warns that millions of people could be in danger
• The storm is expected to be weaker than hurricane strength when it reaches land
• There are concerns about the safety of Muslims living in low-lying camps in Myanmar

(CNN) -- Residents of coastal areas in Bangladesh and Myanmar are preparing for the arrival of a large storm that is rumbling toward them across the Bay of Bengal, with a U.N. agency warning that more than 8 million people could be in danger.

The storm, Tropical Cyclone Mahasen, is forecast to make landfall late Thursday or early Friday in southeastern Bangladesh, near the city of Chittagong. It is likely to bring strong wind and heavy rain to the surrounding region.

On Myanmar's western coast, there are concerns about the safety of tens of thousands of Muslims who are living in makeshift camps in low-lying areas after their homes were destroyed in sectarian violence last year.

"Mahasen could be life threatening for millions of people in Bangladesh, Myanmar and India," Valerie Amos, the U.N.'s top official for humanitarian affairs, said in a statement Tuesday.

The number of people the storm will affect depends on the exact path it plows across the region and its strength when it reaches land.

Preparing for Tropical Cyclone Mahasen

Refugee camp braces for cyclone

CNN Explains: Tropical cyclones

Aid agencies and local authorities are scrambling to make sure residents are as prepared as possible, taking measures that include moving people at risk to higher ground and putting emergency supplies in position.

"There is a flurry of activity going on both in Bangladesh and in Myanmar ahead of the storm," Andreas Von Weissenberg of the International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent said Wednesday. "It's really a race against time in many ways."

The latest prediction suggests Mahasen will bring wind gusts of 85 to 90 kilometers per hour (53 to 56 mph) to the Bangladeshi coast, CNN International meteorologist Ivan Cabrera said.

That puts it at the level of a tropical storm, he said, weaker than the 120-kilometer-per-hour gusts of a hurricane.

"This will be a rain event for most in the area," Cabrera said. "If you are in a concrete building, you will be fine outside of localized very heavy flooding."

The floods could cause problems in low-lying areas, particularly the flimsy camps in Myanmar's Rakhine state.

As the storm approaches, Myanmar authorities and relief agencies have begun working to relocate tens of thousands of the camps' inhabitants.

Most of them are Rohingya, a stateless Muslim minority who suffered during decades of military rule in Myanmar.

Sectarian violence erupted in Rakhine last year between Buddhists and Muslims, resulting in the deaths of scores of people, the majority of them Rohingya. Since then, more than 100,000 Muslims have been forced to live in camps.

In a report last month, the advocacy group Human Rights Watch accused Myanmar authorities of involvement in a Buddhist campaign of "ethnic cleansing" against the Rohingya in Rakhine. The Myanmar government dismissed the report as "one-sided."

The efforts to relocate some of the displaced Rohingya living in the camps appear to have been hindered by distrust of the security forces involved.

Some of those in the camps "are reluctant to relocate, and some communities have refused to use military vehicles or to shelter in military barracks," the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said in an update on the situation Tuesday. Alternative relocation sites are being sought, it said.

On Monday night, a boat ferrying people from one camp in Rakhine to safer areas hit rocks and capsized, the OCHA said, citing the government. Fifty-eight people are believed to still be missing from the accident. Some survived, and an unspecified number died, the agency said.

Bangladesh authorities appear to be well organized for the storm's possible threat to the low-lying and densely populated nation.

As many as 50,000 volunteers are giving out early warnings, providing advice, helping people relocate and preparing to give first aid and distribute relief items, Von Weissenberg said.

Bangladesh has learned to take a cautious approach to storms after the catastrophic impact of Cyclone Bhola in 1970 that is estimated to have killed 400,000 people, according to the OCHA.

CNN's Brian Walker contributed to this report.

Myanmar minority resist Cyclone Mahasen evacuation

By TIM SULLIVAN | Associated Press – 3 hrs ago

• Email
• Share
• 
  
• 
  
• 
  
• Print

• 
  View Photo
  Associated Press/ A.M.Ahad - A Bangladeshi fisherman uses an anchored ropes of his boat to come on the banks of the river Kornofuli, in Chittagong, Bangladesh, Wednesday, May 15, 2013. Cyclone Mahasen is expected to make landfall early Friday. The storm was heading toward Chittagong, Bangladesh, but could shift east and deliver a more direct hit on Rakhine state in Myanmar. (AP Photo/ A.M.Ahad)  less 

Related Content

     

• View PhotoAn internally displaced Rohingya …
• View PhotoThis image provided by the Naval …

SITTWE, Myanmar (AP) — A massive evacuation to clear low-lying camps ahead of a cyclone has run into a potentially deadly snag: Many members of the displaced Rohingya minority living there have refused to leave because they don't trust Myanmar authorities.

Around 140,000 people — mostly Rohingya — have been living in cramped tents and makeshift shelters in Rakhine state since last year, when two outbreaks of sectarian violence between the Muslim minority and ethnic Rahkine Buddhists forced many Rohingya from their homes. Nearly half those displaced are in coastal areas considered highly vulnerable to storm surges and flooding from Cyclone Mahasen, which is expected to make landfall early Friday.
Outside the state capital of Sittwe on Wednesday, one community of several hundred Rohingya refused to budge, despite coaxing from soldiers.
"When we told them the storm was coming, they didn't believe us," said army Lt. Lin Lin. "They're still refusing to move."
Inside the camp, cycle rickshaw driver U Kyaung Wa said his people were tired of being ordered around by Myanmar authorities. First, he said, they were moved into the camps because their houses were destroyed after last year's violence.
"Now they say, 'You have to move because of the storm,'" he said. "We keep refusing to go. ... If they point guns at us, only then will we move."
The cyclone churning through the Indian Ocean appears to have weakened but could still bring "life-threatening" conditions to more than 8 million people in coastal parts of India, Bangladesh and Myanmar, the U.N. said Wednesday.
Mahasen has been downgraded to a Category 1 storm, said the U.N.'s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.
Heavy rains and flooding in Sri Lanka were blamed for eight deaths earlier this week, said Sarath Lal Kumara, spokesman for Sri Lanka's disaster management center.
The brunt of the cyclone was barreling toward Chittagong, Bangladesh, but could, "depending on its final trajectory, bring life-threatening conditions for 8.2 million people in northeast India, Bangladesh and Myanmar," the U.N. office said in a storm update issued Friday.
There was no wind or rain in Chittagong by Wednesday afternoon, but about 170 factories close to the Bay of Bengal were closed in anticipation of the storm.
In Myanmar at least eight people fleeing the cyclone, and possibly many more, were killed when overcrowded boats carrying more than 100 Rohingya capsized. Only 42 people had been rescued as of Wednesday, and the search continued for more than 50 Rohingya still missing, said Deputy Information Minister Ye Htut.
Much attention was focused on western Myanmar because of fears that heavy rains will swamp low-lying Rohingya camps.
Myanmar's government had planned to relocate 38,000 people within Rakhine state by Tuesday but "it is unclear how many people have been relocated," the U.N. office said, adding that Muslim leaders in the country have called on people to cooperate with the government's evacuation.
The issue has been complicated by widespread anti-Muslim sentiment in Rakine. Rohingya have suffered decades of discrimination in largely Buddhist Myanmar, which does not consider them citizens.
Tensions are still running high in Rakhine state nearly a year after unrest that killed at least 192 people and left hundreds of Rohingya homes in ruins. The violence has largely segregated Rakhine state along religious lines, with prominent Buddhists — including monks — urging people to boycott Muslim businesses.
International rights and aid agencies urged that the evacuations be stepped up.
"If the government fails to evacuate those at risk, any disaster that results will not be natural, but man-made," said Brad Adams, Asia director at Human Rights Watch.
Weather experts have warned that the storm could shift and change in intensity before hitting land.
Myanmar's southern delta was devastated in 2008 by Cyclone Nargis, which swept away entire farming villages and killed more than 130,000 people. Two days before hitting Myanmar, Nargis weakened to a Category 1 cyclone before strengthening to a Category 4 storm.
___
AP writers Jocelyn Gecker in Bangkok, Farid Hossain in Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Krishan Francis in Colombo, Sri Lanka contributed to this report.